I think that there will be 12-24 months of slow bleed, that will have these little sharp upward spikes that the sheep will repeatedly call "reversals".
This is how you get the sheep excited enough to stay in the market while you do the shearing. History will repeat itself.
You are quite correct.
A good indicator that the bear market is still on track, is the number of posters who think the opposite and maintain faith that the price will rise.
The idea that most of us get it wrong is utter rubbish. Most of us are certain bitcoin will rocket up to $50k within a week, and $100k within two weeks. The majority are obviously right. How can we possibly get it wrong?