The analysis doesnt seem interesting to me. Bitcoin to 3000$ seems pretty unrealistic to me. Though bitcoin has seems some major corrections and has dropped quite much, touching 3k$ seems impossible. If bitcoin ever touches 3k$, just imagine, how much the altcoins will drop and also dont forget the total market cap. Such massive drop can only been seen if handful of governments ban bitcoin and crypto currencies at the same instance. Bitcoin can max to max drop till support of 6k$ and not below that atleast not in this year.