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Board Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game
by
Dabs
on 26/09/2013, 02:12:53 UTC
A uniformly distributed random number is still a random number, Dabs. You're saying here that the results aren't random because they're random? Cheesy

I'm challenged because I don't know how to explain it. I'm trying to say that while the pattern fits and looks random, it is predictably random.

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The fact is that both you and nakowa speak about "spotting a pattern" (gambler's phallacy in its purest form), but neither of you cannot clearly explain a) how do you find the pattern and b) why this pattern (and thus flaw) exists.

This is a problem. Maybe I'm a savant or something. I don't think so. I just can't explain it.

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I'm not very firm with math-stuff, just wanted to assure Dabs he's not alone in his suspicion.

@molecular, it's called Gambler's Fallacy. A lot of gamblers and non-gamblers (I never was a gambler until this year) think, some things must be "due".

I completely understand it is a fallacy. I also completely understand why so many chose to believe it. I've seen gambler's lose big time.

I have a limit, so that's why I'm not losing my shirt. And why millions of people around the world continue to bet one dollar on a state run lottery ticket with a 50% house edge.

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if You found a pattern to Your advantage, You should know how to explain it, IMHO. I believe in patterns in connection with RNG games.

@elm, that's a problem. I can't explain it any better than I've written. The pattern is seen as a whole, not a specific win loss sequence.

dooglus should put out a bounty to prove the RNG is flawed. allow people to benefit financially without losing their soul...

The bounty is already there. To play and bet against the house that you will win with what you believe or think is the exploit. That's what I've been doing until I went bust. Doog could show my chart, it has a nice graph to it until I busted.

I'm wondering why Nakowa is only going after just-dice and not any other dice sites.
If it all was about math and 1% house edge, he should be able to win big at prime dice as well.

PD uses a completely different method to compute it's rolls. Coinroll would most likely be the next victim if it only had a bigger bankroll or investors to win money from. However, it has a minimum bet (bad for me) but that shouldn't affect Nakowa with his style of play.

However PD is constantly being accused of rigging the site and not being totally provably fair. It is, losing players just can't accept it.