Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)
by
teraf
on 16/03/2018, 04:38:07 UTC
I've been occasionally following the Italian league since late 2016 and came to a conclusion that 2 major betting strategies exist here:

- betting on Juventus to beat the other team, that is not in the top 5. Ideally should be done twice in a row and then you should never gamble again, lol.
- betting against Juventus on a very special occasion once in a year or two.  "contrarian betting"

The second strategy is riskier but potentially more lucrative and intriguing from an "investing viewpoint".
Realistically you should be able to guess 1 Juventus fiasco out of 3 calculated attempts and still made a nice profit. Am I right or not ?
The tricky thing is to correctly identify these types of situations.

The shocking loss to Genoa  3:1  (27.11.2016) looks somewhat predictable in retrospect.
Dybala and Higuainin were absent, so was that a clear signal ?

Atalanta was very close to win in the second leg of the TIM Cup Semi-final, imo.  Once again Dybala and Higuainin were absent, (Dybala made an appearance in the last 10 minutes of the game)
Unfortunately I am not a regular observer, so the next time they will be absent I probably won't be paying attention to the championship,
anyway can it be a signal to watch for?  

As the current winning streak gets attention, I fully expect Juventus to lose a game sooner or later, perhaps even one of the next 3 home games,
but I am totally ignorant which one, of course.

any suggestions ?