Isn't it the opposite... the pool had lucky rounds before, and the maximum reward is the amount you get back from the overhead if the current round ends right now?

Edit: I got that backwards. I blame it on just having gotten out of bed with a fever... 


Anyway, even though the pool stats won't admit it yet, it seems that a block was produced, and that outstanding EU payments are included: http://blockexplorer.com/b/134863 (4 confirmations atm)