Ninjastic
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Board Hardware
Re: BFL ROI
by
amencon
on 30/09/2013, 02:11:11 UTC
Quote from: cpengr on September 30, 2013, 02:05:40 AM
Quote from: ralree on September 30, 2013, 01:56:24 AM
Quote from: amer on September 29, 2013, 03:13:01 PM
Here's another way of looking at the potential for continued long-term exponential growth (but I think it uses the same line of thinking)...
+1.  This is what I meant.  Thanks for the down-to-earth calculation.  Don't let TheGenesisBlock's calculator (which is awesome, btw) trick you into thinking we're going to have a larger (hashrate-wise) network than we will.  Remember - nearly everyone advising you against mining .. is a miner Wink.  I would still take delivery on a $1299 60GH miner.

amer provided some useful info and perspective as it relates to a longer term view. However, AFAICT, short term--if the hash growth rate stays the same (very roughly 100%/month) for the next 2-3 months, then this miner will not even approach breaking even in terms of USD. Am I wrong in my calculation? Or is there some reason you expect a significant drop in the hash rate growth rate very soon?
I think in the future the best case scenario for hashrate will be leveling towards flat, I can't imagine a scenario short of a algo change or a major blow to Bitcoin where the hashrate will actually drop in the foreseeable future.  Could be wrong though, also interested in ralree's explanation for his optimistic outlook.