I'm thinking AM direct shares are a good thing to own right now...
I am thinking the opposite. The divident will be less than 0.3B during the whole life span of AM. Who would pay 1B for 0.3B divident in the next 10 yrs?
Keeping direct AM share is kind like committing suicide.
How are you making this calculation?
The div is decreasing at the rate of 10%/week. It is not diffcult to calculate how much you can get back.
My guess is there would be zero divident early next year.
This decreasing trend is expected when you keep the same hash rate in a growing network.
Your expectation of nearly zero early next year would be true if AM would not build any new hardware.
Your innocent "it is not difficult to calculate" is... innocent. Either you are very naive, or you are a troll. Or you think they won't bring any new hardware, in which case well there is not much to debate, but I think the majority would disagree with you on this point, bears or bulls. Time will tell (HW is expected soon).