Ninjastic
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Re: 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM
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assortmentofsorts
on 16/10/2013, 05:30:01 UTC
Quote from: theonewhowaskazu on October 16, 2013, 04:39:35 AM
Quote from: assortmentofsorts on October 15, 2013, 06:54:10 AM
Quote from: theonewhowaskazu on October 15, 2013, 04:31:02 AM
Quote from: assortmentofsorts on October 15, 2013, 04:29:52 AM
Quote from: theonewhowaskazu on October 15, 2013, 02:55:24 AM
Quote from: assortmentofsorts on October 14, 2013, 07:07:01 PM
Quote from: SheHadMANHands on October 13, 2013, 01:50:30 AM
Quote from: Ente on October 13, 2013, 12:43:49 AM
Quote from: bitcoinBull on October 12, 2013, 06:10:00 AM
Right, just click through, following the biggest transactions. It was only about 10-20 hops iirc.

I quit after 60 hops. Maybe I took a wrong turn at the beginning though.

Seriously, more than a few hops pretty much means nothing. At least not until you run it through some taint analysis, or do fancy networking graphs.

Ente

Likewise.  I'd love to see the actual click through the led from point (a) to point (b).

Here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=310600

Just FYI, if he decided to go and spend those Bitcoins on something, its very likely that he would have sent them all to one address & its similarly likely that they would remain unspent for extended periods of time. So, DPR likely does have something to do with the address, but saying its his address seems like a bit of a stretch.

Why would he send large quantities of bitcoins to someone elses address? Heck he did not even keep his close family members/friends in the loop. I think DPR trusted no one but himself. But he made his share of stupid mistakes.


What if he just wanted to, you know, buy something? Or just sell the coins for fiat? What do you think, he just let all the money sit there?

Honestly, I don't get what you are trying to prove here. I was reacting to this:

Quote
but saying its his address seems like a bit of a stretch.

I was just saying that, from my analysis, the two addresses should belong to the same person.

Quote
What if he just wanted to, you know, buy something? Or just sell the coins for fiat? What do you think, he just let all the money sit there?

I don't care what he does with those coins (I don't think he has that choice anymore). I just was trying to make a connect between two addresses and see if they belonged to the same person. Doing this mostly for fun/learning. Not trying to prove anything.


I'm not trying to prove anything either. Look, I'm just saying that those coins could easily have been spent by DPR and given to the owner of said address rather than the entire address actually being owned by DPR. Thats all I'm trying to say. I'm not trying to prove anything, just pointing that out. There has been no real reason I've seen so far this  thread to suggest otherwise. It just seems like sort of a random leap to assume it must be DPR's address.

Yeah, I assumed that too. But if you notice... the first ever transaction to that address was from DPR. What does that show? He either knew the owner of that address beforehand or he was himself the owner. Now if the owner of that address was someone else why isn't he spending his coins? Surely the owner is not simply hoarding coins for 2 years without spending a satoshi. That just doesn't seem likely. (I may be wrong... but its very unlikely to be someone else's address)

On the other hand, if we assume that the address was used for cold storage all the pieces fit. Unless DPR suddenly turned from mastermind of largest online drug market to a philanthropist its safe to assume that it is his address. Btw, I found another path to the same address (1933..) from 1DLN (for the 5000BTC).. its too lengthy and took my script a couple of hours to find it. I bet the FBI has better tools in its arsenal to find more such addresses (all it needs is a really efficient graph analysis engine and good processing power). I might still be wrong... but the evidence suggests otherwise.