Post
Topic
Board Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game
by
nimda
on 18/10/2013, 14:39:40 UTC
Doog,

I thought about what we discussed on the trollbox and you were absolutely correct.  I was totally wrong in my calculations and I admit I was not thinking clearly.  I greatly appreciate the patience you had with me. 

This is the bet that started the discussion: https://just-dice.com/roll/184417807

A winning bet at 98.99% odds, he took home ~0.01134 when the true odds are ~1.14618.  The 99% difference was used to pay the "1% house edge".  Of course if he had lost, he would have lost it all.

I questioned the bet after seeing the risk to reward ratio, perceived it as an unfair situation, and incorrectly thought that the math was wrong.  Instead, I was wrong.  It absolutely is a 1% house edge bet according to definition.

It's a sucker bet, you say.  I'll go out on a limb and say that if the terms of the bet are "if you win, I tax ~99% of your true odds winnings; if you lose, you lose it all", "sucker bet" is an understatement.  I find it unlikely that a player would realize this less-than-ideal situation when they see "1% house edge" advertised.

I think the better question would be "is it misleading to offer this type of bet?".

Any thoughts are welcome.


The terms of the bet are the same as the nearly universal standard that you will find in any casino. Any attempt to clarify will make things worse.