I don't think a system that's aggregating a behaviour is going to make a change based on a single occurrence. If this is the first time you're doing all of the above it's not surprising that that is so.
That's a fair assumption, however...
Base price now at the 0.00000029 BTC buying more lottery and Deposit helped!
This guy has got the right idea, just do a bit of everything until you get there.
Based on this, the inverse of your assumption must also be true.
The truth is we just don't know. What works for some, doesn't work for others...
The algorithm is the same for everyone but everyone's deposit, wagering, jackpot and lottery history is different. If you put different input values in you get a different output value.