In the last couple of weeks, Eligius has gone from a pool of about 225 TH/s to a pool of ~500 TH/s.
As the hashrate of the pool increases, your individual share of the pool will decrease unless you add hashrate proportional to the growth of the pool.
Therefore, as the pool grows, your individual payout per-block will drop, unless you increase your hash power, as above.
You are very correct but how can you explain the following:
11 - 1AeKpG55tgrzTw5jgQynEGsLe8QCPnGpmH
Unpaid Balance Shares Rewarded
As of last block: 0.42229832 BTC 100.00%
Estimated Change: +0.01319422 BTC 0.00%
Estimated Total: 0.43549254 BTC 100.00%
Hashrate Average Weighted Shares 12 hours 1,091.67 Gh/s 10980294 3 hours 1,100.33 Gh/s 2766848 22.5 minutes 1,047.39 Gh/s 329216 256 seconds 1,322.86 Gh/s 78849 128 seconds 1,364.06 Gh/s 40652
I own based on the 3 hours average 0.0023% of the network hash power or 0.0575 BTC per block and Eligius tells me the Estimated Change should be 0.0131. We are off by a factor close to 4 and this is the point I do not understand and I hope someone here can explain!!!
Thanks.