Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Comparison to Apple (AAPL) shares
by
Littleshop
on 10/07/2011, 17:20:52 UTC
It's a high risk investment with an extremely low risk/reward ratio. You have approximately a 30% chance of making 10X your original investment.  Any poker player would jump at the chance.

Haha I love it when bitcoiners quantify things like this.  Please explain how someone has a 30% chance of making 10x their investment.

It is impossible to quantify these things.  But there are ways we can look at it.

one year from now:

OUTCOMEAAPLBTC
100% lossunlikelypossible
similar valuelikelypossible
2x valuepossiblepossible
10x valueunlikelyunlikely