Too much credit my friend...I was never good at math, statistics, or gambling...all of which I feel are valuable skills when it comes to trading.
That being said my strategy is simple...but a few BTC...sit on it...and read the boards to see if anyone has any interesting insights...mostly just keeping my eyes open for the rarest of the rare possibility this all collapses.
You might be surprised to read some of the comparisons of how well buy and hold BTC has done relative to active trading. I know I was!