Hello all,
Many people will say that buying a block erupter is a bad idea because at the rate the network difficulty is rising, they will never produce enough bitcoints to break even.
I had an opportunity to discuss this with a friend today, and the fact is that you can actually still make money with a low yield device like a block erupter, so long as you pay for it in some form of fiat currency. This is true because of the rise in value of bitcoin against these currencies - a trend which is likely to continue.
For example, take
a place like this (randomly picked, no affiliation). Buy a block erupter here for $15 and put it to work today.
According to
the profit calculator at bitcoinx, the unit will produce 0.00033 btc/day at the current difficulty level. At $326/btc that's 0.10758 per day, which gives a ROI of 139 days. But, some say, difficulty increases will make the unit unable to ever break even.
Let's say the unit produces the promised 0.00033 btc/day for just one month. The total sum produced would then be 0,0099, or roughly 0.01 BTC. You paid $15 for it, so if the BTC/USD rate just swings up to $1500 you have in fact broken even. These are super conservative numbers, it is realistic to assume the unit will produce 0,03 if you let it run for a year I think. It is also likely that you will be able to buy them for $10 rather than $15. With these numbers the BTC/USD rate in one year will only have to be 334, which is pretty much where it already is (my guess is that in one year, BTC/USD will be close to $1000).
So, as long as you buy units with fiat currency, it should still be possible to not just break even but make a healthy profit with lowly block erupters.
What do you think?
-Michael
You should not include an exchange rate increase in your profit calculations. If you pay 0.04BTC (or the equivalent in another currency) for a device that will only produce 0.01BTC (after operating costs) in its lifetime, then it is not profitable. If you want to bet on bitcoins increasing in value over other currencies, then just buy bitcoins. This assumes your only motivation is profit.