Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: Monthly average USD/bitcoin price & trend
by
AnonyMint
on 13/11/2013, 22:58:08 UTC
I revised my bitcoin logistic adoption price analysis charts to combine four possible scenarios on one chart ..

Exponential growth (linear on a log axis as you've drawn) is inherently unstable, as no exponential growth goes on forever.
First, I do not appreciate your hijack of this important thread.

Second, my post is about using a logistic function to model bitcoin prices. Perhaps your reasoning is shallow, e.g. drawing wrong conclusions at a glance. There is an excellent Wikipedia article that explains what a logistic function is - and explains its many uses.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_function

Seriously, if you do not understand the math I would be glad to teach it to you.

Indeed adoption of new technologies is usually logistic.

However, this assumes the technology is not threatening to society-at-large, which I have reasoned Bitcoin is.

Thus I am expecting is an unstable exponential growth, with a waterfall crash which is what we see in market speculation, not technology adoption.

Market speculation is identified characteristically by greed instead adoption of technology for personal use and efficiency.

I recently tried to buy some BTC anonymously and found out just how inefficient the process is (as in an entire day lost over $110 purchase).

Sorry but I am not hijacking, I am correcting your myopia.

If you want to talk math, I minored in math. No problem.