Seriously, organofcorti is absolutely the man when it comes to statistical analysis.
Both Organofcorti and Meni Rosenfeld are very good with the math, statistics and perhaps most importantly: probability theory.
I think it is human nature to fail horribly at understanding probability.
It's OK to not be as good as these guys. I think it is more important to understand the limitations of our own knowledge and skills. Read and use the stuff they write.

Never used a different pool. never will in all probability unless Bitminter ceases to exist. Just wanted to say a big thanks to Doc and happy mining everyone..
Just wanna say, I never had it "so good when I could mine on Bitminter".
Thank you, sirs

Much appreciated.