OMG, the dopamine spikes from the get-rich-quick-fever are running so high that the new religion is finding information in aliasing error[1].
Nice catch, but I carefully picked the image from dozens to not refer to aliasing error.Generally speaking only if the alignment of the overlapping circles is not randomly chosen.
See the fundamental point of the Shannon-Nyquist theorem (and yes I had to argue with the Wikipedia editors to get this language in their summary) is that a signal can not be both band-limited and time-limited (e.g. if time-limited you have infinite frequencies at the start and stop points).
In short, we can't know what is random and what is not. We can only base our expectations of those fixed points which are only fixed relative to the world we perceive (shared amongst those who share the common perception). I get deeper into the math in my blog article about what the universe really is made of:
http://unheresy.com/The%20Universe.html
So therefor you make your assumptions then you place your bets on those assumptions holding for the duration of your bets.
You won't be able to rule out serendipity ever. Long-tail distributions lurk, which is the point of Taleb's Antifragility taken with the inertia of concentration of mass.
Cheers
Nice to talk with someone who can (I assume) understand what I wrote above.@gcinc
I enjoyed your analysis. Group behavior is definately measurable. Applied to financial instruments esp. Speculation on potential adoption can obv render the spec line inflated for the time, until adoption ensues...find rptiela's work interesting, and slippery slope's log model convincing.
Obv it's a gamble, obv it's risky, and obv it's about making money, so what...that's how markets work and innovations come to life.
I enjoyed your analysis. Group behavior is definately measurable. Applied to financial instruments esp. Speculation on potential adoption can obv render the spec line inflated for the time, until adoption ensues...find rptiela's work interesting, and slippery slope's log model convincing.
Obv it's a gamble, obv it's risky, and obv it's about making money, so what...that's how markets work and innovations come to life.
Indeed, serendipity for example an altcoin comes along which allows you to exit BTC without it being a ponzi scheme, by gradually sucking value out while increasing distribution to the masses.
But in this case it isn't random relative to our shared perception, because I just told you what will happen
That is unless it disappears from your consciousness, which is quite likely I presume because you are not privy to everything I can see at the moment.