So this is the important part:
[...]
[18:03] <@Ukyo> the full story is not complete yet.
[18:03] <@Ukyo> until that time consider all of this guess work
at best.
I'd vote for those 2 statements as the "important part".
Basically, everything else he says at this point is "guess work, at best".
Smells bad.
What I don't quite get is why he needs to communicate in this way. He could have chatted with those guys in private and could have posted the story when it is complete. By the way, the story so far IS complete and could be posted. Even though it doesn't have an ending yet. But it might not have one for some more time...so better post where we are now.