Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
Vycid
on 30/11/2013, 10:15:10 UTC

Bitcoin is a store of value. It's only natural that when the market cap rises, higher % amount goes to long-time saving. Volume in USD has staid nearly the same.

(Seems like you desperately want to buy back in, doing anything for the USD win)

Mmm, no, I disagree. I do think it is reasonable to expect some proportionality between market cap and volume.

There are two things working behind the scenes: one is that I believe volume is ALSO proportional to volatility, and since there's been extreme volatility in the past weeks (and it's calmed some recently), it's not surprising volume has dropped quite a bit.

The other is that MtGox is offering 0% fees, which I suspect has drawn all the trade volume away from Bitstamp, where rpietila has gotten his volume data.

Anyway, the exchanges have drifted closer together on this comparatively tranquil leg. I suspect we will be moving again soon, but I'm not at all convinced it will be downward. The trend is unbroken and I have learned not to believe I can outsmart the market.