I dont think so. at all. i am very bullish about this year. but choose your coins wisely. many of them will fail this year, but the good ones will prevail and grow. 
Yes you are correct and based on your statement you just have to invest on the best altcoins this year and that is what we are seeing in the https://coinmarketcap.com/ I think that is the best and main reference regarding the values of every coin and most especially this year's best altcoin. Hopefully this year will be green to us and not on the red zone.Crypto currency market was hammered by a lot of issues in the previous month, price value of almost all ALT coin suffered so much, more investor had a lot of headache on how they can recovered their losses after the market price value of this coins drops to the level that no one would expected, yet with the market recovery after such hiccups, with good fundamentals, stable market price value on the treed, the confidence level of investor on crypto market trading is back and more active on the trading market, i am more optimistic to see the future of Crypto investment project will more favorable for the investors and for the trading market of crypto currency.