The trend is down, and needs a proper base to reverse. If it can happen quickly , then the bounce might be more substantial. However my fear is that the slow bleed takes a few months, and would then turn into an extended bear market. Slope of Hope. That scenario indicates the 2500 low is possible in 2 years.

The alternative is a quick carnage in a drop to 5500-6000 (within a month , say) and a proper floor established there. Optimistic case is the new uptrend can make 15k inside a year.

The conclusion is we don't want a weak rise right from here.