You should read rpietila's posts...
Market will not "crash". But it will serioulsly correct (-75%) when (and only after) it has grown more than 50% per day for at least 2 days.
Maybe it will crash from $2000 to $500.
Maybe it will crash from $5000 to $1000.
Maybe it will crash from $10000 to $2000.
Nobody knows.
Only thing we know is that right now it needs 4.5 millions dollars of new money every day to stay at this price...
75% is a crash and will never happen again unless bitcoin also fails. There are too many people now to absorb the large dollar swings that whales could manage. I think > 33% will never happen again. So far, I've been right.
You do realize that Second Market is buying about ⅓ of the miners' new coins every day singlehandedly, right? Wait until we get a couple more hedge fund managers that want their fund to look really good. Pretty soon they'll be buying MORE than the mined coins every day.
as far as i know, the april crash was coupled with mt gox having serious problems with deposit and withdrawals, which fueled the crash even more. So altough the market will likely have a normal correction after a boom, it will probably not react as heavily as in april. On the other hand the new guys may not know yet that mt gox has huge waiting times for deposits and withdrawals and verification (really they should use kraken), and they may become worried even if it's normal for mt gox to be so slow. So it may result in a similar panic like in april.
either way, I hope i'll respond in time and in the right way to double or triple up my bitcoins.