I think that luck does not exist, the more in a sphere such as cryptoeconomics. In order to enter a profitable project, you need to analyze all the risks, and then again analyze everything.
Well it's about questioning the term luck in general then I guess. How would you call it if someone just joins the airdrop and then gets the token that grows a lot? For someone it might be luck, but you can also say they he joined the airdrop, so it was not lucky...