Brisance, youre gaining haters! Must be doing something right. Thanks for your analysis.
Oda.krell, I think I get the gist of what youre saying but it sounds a little scatterbrain. Mind doing a tl;dr?
Then again I just got out of bed. Ill try again after a cup of coffee.
oh, it absolutely is scatterbrained. but if you want a tl;dr...
hypothesis (not properly tested, only observed a few times in the last year):
take the
median mean between highest vwap and lowest vwap during a crash. if price bounces back and crosses median, then mainly stays below it in the first days up to two weeks following the crash, bear market more likely, otherwise bull market.