In the Powerball lottery, a large part of the search space is covered. In Bitcoin, only a very small fraction is covered.
I figured this is what you were getting at, point taken.
I was thinking about finding a ticket.
That's not very fair, in our context! That would be similar to leaking your Private Key, and the person using it claiming to have found it randomly (seems to be the case more often than not).
I may have made up the difference for the sake of argument.
Blasphemer!
If a concept is valid and unaccounted for, then I have no problem with you "making it up". I was just genuinely puzzled at the concept.
Real chance: it won't happen. Theoretical: it might happen.
I was unaware of your prophetic abilities, Mr. Loyce.

Help me peer into the nether and see what is and is not to happen.
1 in 10^11 if you don't know my country
1 in 10^16 for my creditcard
Easy enough, credit cards are 16 digits with 10 possibilities per digit. Maybe the math is easier than I thought, fair enough.
About 100% for calling at the right time.
Are you hitting on me, Loyce?
No, you can never prove you found them independently. A collision means having two private keys that both produce the same address.
Oh, well than that changes everything. I'm talking more about acquiring a Private key, rather than a collision; I'm not technically inclined enough to comment on that, yet.