Technical Analysis : Biggest failure of all time in the crypto sphere. It never works. No theory can really define the progress of the crypto market.
Reasons: Crypto currencies keep changing their ultimate fate with the surrounding sphere. There could be different news, updates and decisions that may change the course of bitcoin up rising and down movements.
HODL works all the time, because with the time there comes a time point where the market at least starts moving up.
Totally, i also believe in Hodl. Most of technically analysis gone wrong in this market, People need to stop following this analysis , and buy as much when market is down. keep your coins in safe place & sell market is going up. Because market is always going Up!