So you just depend on your emotions then when you feel like buying or selling a coin. I think its time for you mate to study the charts and observe the news because at least we will have an idea of what the people who holds large amount of coins wanted to happen to the price. If there are bad news then they want it to go lower and if there are good news then they want it to go higher. We have to take into account what the price action is telling in the charts, what is happening around through news and observe the market sentiment as well to at least speculate of where the price might be heading. We shouldn't just depend on our feeling because this is what makes us lose.