That's correct, I remember when the bitcoin halving happened for example, the price didn't move much until many weeks later. It is the same now, the price will not be affected so much until a large amount of coins will be dropped in the market later.
What you ignore is the fact that increases happen in advance of the event that's going to take place, and there was an impressive increase before the previous block halving. From there you can't realistically expect much to happen shortly afterwards. It might work both ways and the $6000 level could be the lowest (ever?) point, but it's too soon to say. I don't rule out another test if we don't go up in a confident manner. The volumes should increase and the network activity will follow. Positive aspect is that the blocks are full consistently, and that points at more network activity. Let's see how long we can keep this up.