Wrong. You are very new here, but he tends to get it wrong most of the times, I'd say as much as 90% of the times.

Don't have the time to dig all the old posts (plus he tends to delete them when he gets it wrong), but I will make you a very short summary of some of Risto Pietila's calls:

- spring 2013 (this was not trolling, this was a very real and serious prediction he made earlier this year)

- summer 2013 - we went below $100 (till $67) a few days after

- November 2013 - he sold at $700 hoping to buy back cheaper and had to buy back at a loss shortly after

- December 2013 - we were trading at $1200, the peak was reached shortly after and we crashed

I could go on FOREVER.

As some have said, Risto makes some very interesting general analysis threads, but:

• his short term calls are consistently wrong
• he doesn't own 10k coins, that's BS. He doesn't own more than 2k coins based on his post history (probably less)
• his history of successful trading are utter BS. He doesn't do "arbitrage", and he makes up his stories of success to build up his character
• he has delusions of grandeur and maniac episodes in which he totally loses his mind, probably believing his own BS
• he doesn't stand serious critics, that's why he starts self-moderated topics in which he ruthlessly deletes well-reasoned critics while allowing random and off-topic praises.
• finally, his business model is to attract noob investors to either a) sell them BTC with a markup or b) manage their assets for a fee. This is his priority, and the character he built in here is made with that priority in mind.

Let me get straight that I haven't got anything personal against Risto, is just that I feel bad when I see noobs thinking he is some kind of über-successful master BTC trade, while in reality he is mostly smoke and mirrors. As we are supposed to be a community, sometimes I feel the urge to warn newcomers and tell them to analyze more thoroughly the character before thinking to risk their money to/with him.