i don't think so. no one can guess about what will happen future. some bad news can effect, or good news same.
You say I am wrong: we will see.
I wish I was wrong but I am a realist that uses intellect to make a deduction!
Everything points to sub 6K
If you really say you are a realist who thinks and uses intellect to make a deduction, then go eat this load of practical situation of the current crpytocurrency market.
1. You cannot predict what exactly will happen in the future. Just as you say "we will see, I am hope I'm wrong."
2. Everything is possible and with the cryptocurrency market being very unstable, it is possible that it can suddenly go up very high.