None of the charts will appear on my post, because Im a newbie. Someone else will need to quote it if theyre interested.
The two scenarios I have been considering are the crypto-winter in this first case and my variant of the second scenario where the price dips to the center purple curve as it did int 2013, before making a new ATH quickly in early 2019 as shown on my chart below.
AFAICT, his variant of the second scenario doesnt make any sense when you realize the white dotted line is the rightmost yellow line on the following chart. What do you think?

Theres two broad scenarios for BTC. Crypto-winter $3000ish. New ATHs $30,000ish. Thus the fair valuation of BTC is ~$10,000ish as of the moment.