Well honestly i do some of my own analysis, but mostly i also refer to some famous traders and their own strategy but not that i am copying their idea, it is only a way for me to have my own analysis and compare to which is better for me and then i start applying what i had conclude.
Keep your prediction Bro. that's your, besides, anyone can have one prediction, we have different strategy in the crypto currency market trading, i would just read more legit information, market research, market history of Bitcoin trend..etc.etc. Market is Volatile, no one can predict what to become of Bitcoin for tomorrows market trading and what will be the price? good luck.
the best thing is to believe in our own analysis. though wrong but that is the result of our thinking. and that's good for you, because you are disciplined to analyze yourself, may you become a great trader like them