answer this question honestly, drop the bullcrap for 10 seconds:
Q: if you were given the option of (A) having $200m with probablty 100% or (B) having $1bn with probabilty 20%. Which wuld you choose?
You will never be given either of this options. If you had such an option, you'd blew it when it was (C) 1$. So not applicable, it is not some scared kid moving these coins.
does not compute.. goto line 10