Some reasons I believe bitcoin is likely to rise next time
Bitcoin is dropping sharply from $ 20,000 down to about $ 6,000 by the end of 2017, but that's a lot more than $ 2500 a year ago.
Laws gradually intervene in the market, may form the law for crypto, institutional investors can peace of mind to invest in the market
Mt Gox is allowed by law to compensate bitcoin victims for a percentage, without the need for cash compensation, which could end the sale of large amounts of bitcoin.
How do you believe bitcoin will increase from now until the end of the year?
Things could go either way at this point, there are still many unknown variables, if what you say about mtgox is true I think it is possible we see a small recovery by the end of the year but if it is not and they keep selling coins then this is going to depress the price even further than it is right now, this in return will create panic among some holders and this will make the price even lower.