I have officially retired from attempting to understand the market dynamics of Monero. Why does it go up when it goes up? Why does it go down when it goes down? I have come to terms with the fact that I have no effing clue. I know why I own it and I know why I hold it and I'll sell it the day I see a better value proposition for what ever price it is that day. That is just going to have to be good enough.
I agree with you! There is no answer to this question, monero grows when he wants and falls down when he wants. Just need to sell it when it grows and buy when it falls.