I think it might decrease yes. But predicting a target is totally absurd.
I'm not in any way predicting, it's more a guess, and I know that there are many things that can happen in that time period that can substantially make my guessing look totally wrong.
Say what? English not your first language I guess ? Predicting and guessing is the same thing buddy.
A prediction or forecast is a statement about the way things will happen in the future, often but not always based on experience or knowledge.
Estimate or suppose (something) without sufficient information to be sure of being correct
So it seems to me, a
guess is a kind of
prediction implying a lack of information (meaning that a guess is a prediction, but a preditction is not necessarily a guess).
Predicting and guessing might be the same thing for someone who is always lacking information.