When we used to use Meni's scoring system, we were doing all the estimated in real-time. If implemented correctly (e.g., not doing the math in SQL) you guys shouldn't have a problem getting an estimate that is real-time as well.
What have you switched to (and why)?
We switched to ESMPPS, and the reason (frankly) was that we disliked the increased variance of scoring systems.
Did you make any attempt to adjust the parameters?
Anyway, you could have used PPLNS which has very little variance and isn't broken.
Yes, we did attempt to adjust the parameters. But the idea of giving the pool operator variance also wasn't for us. No offense, but I think you know very little about the specifics of ESMPPS but you seem very determined to think that it is broken. I, frankly, think you are basing your assumptions on ESMPPS from what you think you know about SMPPS.
But, that is besides the point because your bias to your own scoring method is quite clear.
I was just simply trying to point out to Inaba that it was possible to get real-time stats from your scoring system. I feared that speaking in this thread might provoke you, so I will cease offering my assistance.