you know what you are doing here? you are doing the same thing as those people you are talking about but doing it in other direction. you say last year's massive bull run will not be repeated this year but you go on to saying that the previous bear market (taking few years) will be repeated!!!

and for that, you are just as wrong as them.
just because something happened in the past it doesn't mean it should happen again.
- just because we had a massive rise last year doesn't mean we should have that every year
- also just because last time the bear market took a long time it doesn't mean each time it should take just as long.