Im no big experts with the crypto trade analysis terms that you have used here but I can assure one thing, crypto technical analysis always fails and it is far far different than the forex market place. Never compare that market with the crypto one because it never works here, due to ever changing facts, news, updates, and different political/non-political decisions about the crypto currency usage. These all drive the prices of bitcoin or altcoins in different fashion and when your technical analysis says bitcoin should be up by 2x at this XYZ time then exactly reverse might just happen because of ABC factors affecting it. So its better you research over this topic more and you will see kinda similar opinion to mine.