I don’t try to predict this, I just stick to my plan. I buy a little when it dumps hard and sell some if it pumps hard. I also hold a little bit, but just holding doesn’t work for me and neither does going all in at any price. I’d rather buy low and sell high. Another way to think of it is balancing. Bitcoin dumps a bunch it is probably irrationally low. If it jumps a lot it is probably irrationally high. Pretty simple. No one can predict this.