Haha yep.  I lost $4 earlier on a shit-ton of BTC (I'm still amazed it was only $4 given the # of BTC).  I had bought immediately after the initial dump and was shocked that it didn't go up to at least the middle between the pre- and post- dump price.  Signs looked bad, so I cut my losses at transaction fees only and sold.  Here I was, 10 minutes ago, thinking my skills and intuition were brilliant.  I didn't take into account the x factor haha.