Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Consolidating Trend -- A Page From Arepo's Notes
by
arepo
on 07/01/2014, 20:25:11 UTC
How long until we reach the bottom of the correction you are proposing?
What price will be the low in your opinion?
What would it take for you to accept that the current situation is not in fact the correction you are proposing? What are the odds of this eventuality?

Of course you cannot give 100% precise figures. But I would like something I can quote you on if possible. This is not to beat you at any game, but rather because I think that as someone who practises a science that many would feel they must follow if they have no experience themselves, I think you should be happy to be accountable for your predictions.

Thanks,

Stuart

no issues with accountability, of course; some issues with your request. you see, posting price targets creates a confounding effect that, if enough people know about and "trust" a specific target, and trade according to their best possible actions, the Nash Equilibrium will necessarily invalidate that target as players try to undercut each other for better and better prices. for this reason i usually only provide them in private or in limited release paid reports.

that being said, i'll make an exception in this case, in part because i think many still don't put much stock in my work. also, i'm just going to give you direct answers to your questions and not go into the methods i used to arrive upon these answers. however, i will be suffering an information loss at the hands of the forum, so i propose a bounty.

if i can raise 0.1 BTC by the end of today at the address in my signature, i will post the direct answers. there's already 0.02 in there, so only 0.08 to go!

--arepo