How big is the chance that crypto and xmr die out and go back to sub 10 dollar? I mean, is the chance on a new Ath in usd bigger then xmr dieng out?
There is definitely bigger chance that XMR reach ATH then USD. 
Now it's up to people what they will do. Use monero (as currency) as much as you can and we will reach ATH soon. If you will just hope and meanwhile be selling your bags you are not helping at all.