I think most likely yes. Most of the same people who voted him in the last time will do it again.And he might have just won some over again. Halfway into his tenure, the man hasn't done really badly. Jobs and the economy are working well for him. Plus him not losing out despite the fierce media opposition is winning him some more fans. But the major bonus he had on his side two years ago is gone. That shock element is no longer gonna work for him. Many things also depend on the candidate the DNC fields.