I think that luck does not exist, the more in a sphere such as cryptoeconomics. In order to enter a profitable project, you need to analyze all the risks, and then again analyze everything.
Luck is still the most unexpected factor in many types of business. Not just about crypto. It still exists around our decisions to buy / sell / invest / hold. If you think that analysis in a good project can bring success. That is not absolute. Sometimes, tokens are listed right when the market explodes or declines.