did you not notice that i'm willing to bet him 100 BTC or $1000 to be held in escrow that the Dow will be lower one year from now than today?
I noticed. yes, it's a prediction. I don't bet on coin flips.
yes but it has a consequence. and i didn't ask you. the offer was to miscreanity.
it's not a "consequence", statistically you got 50% chance to be right.