Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: Why is a higher volume of BTC Short positions a bullish indicator?
by
tee-rex
on 04/09/2018, 19:19:26 UTC
Intuitively (for me anyway), a higher number of short positions means there are a larger number of people who feel the price is going to tank.  The only reason I can think of to explain why this is a bullish indicator is because for every short position taken, there's someone on the other side of the trade taking a long position(?)  But if that's the case, maybe a higher volume of short positions shouldn't really be a bullish or bearish signal, but instead just a signal of price instability(?)  Huh Tongue

Thanks
-YBB

Where do you see that number? And what makes you think that what you see actually reveals what you think? If we are talking about currency or stock markets, the other side of the trade is an exchange itself, that's why your logic won't work with them ("for every short position taken, there's someone on the other side of the trade taking a long position").

If you actually mean crypto exchanges like Bitfinex where you can sell borrowed coins, this is what it is. The number of borrowed and then sold coins shows the market sentiment (provided you can actually know this number), and there is no other side in the sense you mean it. Someone has obviously lent these coins but that doesn't in the least mean that he expects the price to rise. So your reasoning fails here too. If anything, it is not a bullish indicator.