i have to wonder if a large event(s) happens like the exchange losing it's btc and mybitcoin finally known to be owned... would
throw out any guess on pricing and cannot really be held against a person....

so here we have a bitcoin conference coming up and i have to wonder if chodpada is putting that into his calculations at all.
we could very well see people buying in expectation that some media attention might create a burst up days/week after the conference.

or is a pure math guess without taking into account external influences.. basically assuming several normal trading days without big news
to look forward to.

i have not read this whole thread.