I'm aware how to do simple math.  The rate any one coin commands when it hits an exchange is a guestimate at best.  Comparing to any established coin is pointless, and comparing it to other new coins requires knowledge that isn't always the easiest to find (giveaway amounts, premine reserved for developers, kickbacks to game providers, other bounties, etc.)  One can roughly compare the amount of posts per day on a given coin thread and the hashpower at a given time from launch as an indication of the interest in a coin, but then you have one's like MOON that crashed so spectacularly despite the relative enthusiasm by posters and miners - likely due to the prodigious amount of them that were being produced.  

Honestly, cryptsy kills as many coins as it helps.  The obsession with getting on an exchange early is bad policy.  The only real sustainable otpion is to line up services that will take a coin before it's on an exchange so that the propensity to dump them isn't as large.  Funds from the premine could be used to guarantee a certain price level if the exchange rate did not hit initial estimates.  But to launch a coin and go straight to an exchange before anything else can be done with it is almost certain death.  I'm aware there are merchants that take it now, but greater support is necessary to avoid the low valuation - no mining spiral that is the kiss of death for all coins.