When I see an analysis on where BTC prices are going based on news I immediately go back and find a new topic especially when it is news related to ETFs as etfs really don't have an affect to us regular investors in the market. An analysis is made by either Fundamental or Technical analysis but if you are predicting prices based on news I wouldn't call it as an analysis in the first place as there is no even factual basis with the numbers you have given, it just looks like you have thrown a random number with your post.